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CouFrac 2022 Conference

CouFrac 2022 Conference

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lbearson

Hongkyu Yoon

lbearson · May 4, 2022 ·

Machine Learning-Driven Poroelasticity Modeling and Real-time Data Assimilation

Hongkyu Yoon

Sandia National Laboratories, NM, USA

Biosketch

Hongkyu Yoon is a principal member of technical staff at Sandia National Laboratories. He obtained a Ph.D degree in Environmental Engineering in Civil Engineering from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. After working as a research scientist at Illinois, he joined Sandia and his research focuses on subsurface carbon storage and energy recovery with emphasis on multiphase flow and reactive transport, chemo-mechanical coupling, and high-fidelity inverse modeling and uncertainty quantification. He is currently leading research projects on machine/deep learning development and applications for subsurface energy recovery, carbon storage, and remote sensing data analysis for greenhouse gas emissions in Sandia Earth Science program.

Introduction of the Lecture

Machine/deep learning (ML/DL) methods have recently emerged as promising methods for big data analysis and real-time forecasting of coupled subsurface processes. With traditional computational methods high dimensional forward and inverse problems for coupled subsurface processes have been challenged by the number of high fidelity forward model simulations and computational burdens with matrix calculations. Using ML-driven fast forward models and robust non-linear projection operators for dimension reduction, a ML-based framework can be developed as a robust and fast data assimilation solution for real-time forecasting. In this lecture a few examples of supervised and self-supervised ML applications for fast surrogate models will be first presented to highlight promising results of ML applications for coupled subsurface processes, and then generative models such as (variational) autoencoders and generative adversarial networks will be presented as non-linear projection operators to reduce the high dimensional parameter space to the low dimensional latent space. With well-based observation data the ML framework can be combined with a Bayesian inverse model or ensemble-based data assimilation to update the state model parameters for real-time forecasting. For demonstration purposes, poroelastic modeling of flow and pressure propagation in heterogeneous permeability fields and fractured media will be used to demonstrate the accuracy and speedup of the ML framework for real-time forecasting. SNL is managed and operated by NTESS under DOE NNSA contract DE-NA0003525.

Yuxing Ben

lbearson · May 4, 2022 ·

Machine Learning Applications for Optimizing Real-Time Drilling and Hydraulic Fracturing

Yuxing Ben

Occidental Petroleum

Biosketch

Dr. Yuxing Ben is a reservoir engineer at Occidental, where she develops hybrid physics and data-driven solutions in the subsurface engineering technology group. She was the principal developer of machine learning technology for Anadarko’s real-time drilling and hydraulic fracturing platforms. She won the best paper award from URTeC 2019 and was selected as a SPE distinguished lecturer for 2021. Prior to Anadarko, Dr. Ben served as the technical expert for Baker Hughes’ hydraulic fracturing software—MFrac. She has developed complex fracture model for Halliburton and was a postdoc at MIT. She has authored more than 30 papers and holds three US patents. She earned a BS in theoretical mechanics at Peking University, and a PhD in chemical engineering from the University of Notre Dame.

Introduction of the Lecture

This presentation will first introduce machine learning and its applications in oil and gas industry in the past few years, then share the experiences and learnings from three examples in real-time drilling and hydraulic fracturing.

  • For real-time drilling, the operator developed a general machine learning model to classify rig states. Time series data was gathered from 40 wells with 30 million rows representing three US onshore basins. The model proved to have over 99% accuracy after being deployed on all the company’s unconventional drilling rigs. The model predicts real-time rig states every second with tolerant latency. The results are used to generate drilling KPIs in real time for drilling engineers in the office, aid in directional analysis, and optimize drilling operations.
  • Continuous learning was used to predict wellhead pressure to avoid screenout and optimize completion costs in real time. More than 100 hydraulic fracturing stages were selected from several wells completed in the Delaware Basin. The wellhead pressure can be predicted with an acceptable accuracy by a neural network model. The ML model was tested in the Cloud, where real-time streaming data such as slurry rate and proppant concentration are gathered. The computation is fast enough that real-time wellhead pressure can be predicted.
  • System identification was combined with model predictive control to allow the engineers to adjust the pumping schedule and optimize hydraulic fracturing costs.

The presentation will conclude with several takeaway points including future research and development directions for machine learning applications in oil and gas industry.

Gregory C. Beroza

lbearson · May 4, 2022 ·

A Clearer Look at Induced Seismicity with Deep Learning

Gregory C. Beroza

Stanford University, USA

Biosketch

My research focus is on analyzing seismograms to understand how earthquakes work and to quantify the hazards they pose. My research interests include shallow earthquakes, intermediate-depth earthquakes, induced earthquakes, and slow earthquakes. We are working to improve earthquake monitoring in all settings by applying data mining and machine learning techniques to large continuous seismic waveform data. We also work on methods to anticipate the strength of shaking in earthquakes using the ambient seismic field. I currently serve as the Co-Director of both the Southern California Earthquake Center and the Stanford Center for Induced and Triggered Seismicity.

Introduction of the Lecture

Deep learning is having an impact across seismology, but its greatest impact has been in earthquake monitoring. The introduction of deep learning into earthquake monitoring workflows can reduce the detection threshold by one unit of magnitude or more, and because the number of earthquakes increases rapidly as magnitude decreases, detecting somewhat smaller earthquakes dramatically increases available information. The new generation of information-rich earthquake catalogs have yielded important insights into induced seismicity and hold the promise for yet more insights through the application of AI methods to the catalogs themselves.

Mark D. Zoback

lbearson · January 27, 2022 ·

Lithologically-Controlled Variations of the Least Principal Stress with Depth and Its Affect on Multi-Stage Hydraulic Fracturing and Earthquake Propagation

Mark D. Zoback

Stanford University, USA

Biosketch

Dr. Mark D. Zoback is the Benjamin M. Page Professor of Geophysics, Emeritus at Stanford University, where he was also the Director of the Stanford Natural Gas Initiative and Co-Director of the Stanford Center for Induced and Triggered Seismicity and the Stanford Center for Carbon Storage and Senior Fellow in the Precourt Institute for Energy.  Dr. Zoback conducts research on in situ stress, fault mechanics, and reservoir geomechanics with an emphasis on shale gas, tight gas and tight oil production as well as CO2 sequestration. Dr. Zoback served on the Secretary of Energy Subcommittee on shale gas development and the National Academy of Engineering Committee that investigated the Deepwater Horizon accident. He is the author of two textbooks and the author/co-author of about 400 technical papers. His most recent book, Unconventional Reservoir Geomechanics, was written with Arjun Kohli, and published in 2019 by Cambridge University Press.  His online course, Reservoir Geomechanics, has been completed by over 10,000 people around the world. Dr. Zoback has received a number of awards and honors including election to the U.S. National Academy of Engineering in 2011 and the Robert R. Berg Outstanding Research Award of the AAPG in 2015. He was the 2020 chair of the Society of Petroleum Engineers Technical Committee on Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage and 2021 Honorary Lecturer for the Society of Exploration Geophysicists.

Introduction of the Lecture

I will present observational data and modeling results which show layer-to-layer stress variations of the least principal stress as large as ~10 MPa (~1500 psi) in areas where horizontal drilling and multi-stage hydraulic fracturing is occurring at very large scale. These stress variations are lithologically controlled and related to viscoplastic stress relaxation, a process we have studied under laboratory conditions for the past decade. Monotonic variations of the least principal stress with depth straightforwardly imply either upward or downward hydraulic fracture growth. More interestingly, we present several case studies of complex patterns of vertical and horizontal hydraulic fracture growth governed by the detailed variation of the magnitude of the least horizontal stress with depth and the exact landing zone of the lateral. In gun barrel view, this complex geometry is suggestive of a fingerprint that depends on the vertical position of a frac stage with respect to the variations of the least principal stress in the layers both above and below the stage depth. Another aspect of relatively high stress layers associated with viscoplastic stress relaxation acting as “frac barriers” is that they may also act as barriers to rupture propagation associated with induced seismicity. In other words, it is easy to cases in which frac barriers also act as fault barriers.

Sehyeok Park

lbearson · January 27, 2022 ·

Comprehensive In-Situ Stress Estimation for a Fractured Geothermal Reservoir from Drilling, Hydraulic Stimulations, and Induced Seismicity

Sehyeok Park

Korea Institute of Geosciences and Mineral Resources (KIGAM), Korea

Biosketch

Sehyeok Park is a Senior Researcher in Korea Institute of Geosciences and Mineral Resources (KIGAM). His research interests include hydro-mechanical behaviors of fractured rock, reservoir hydraulic stimulation, induced seismicity, in-situ stress estimation, 3D geological modelling, geological disposal of radioactive waste, and carbon capture and sequestration. He earned his Ph.D. in Energy Resources Engineering at Seoul National University in 2021. During his graduate study, he participated in the research projects on geomechanics simulator development, enhanced geothermal site development, and Korea-Europe collaborative research on the demonstration of geothermal well stimulation.

Introduction of the Lecture

In November 2017, a Mw 5.5 earthquake occurred in vicinity of the geothermal development site in Pohang, South Korea. The Korean government-appointed investigation commission concluded that the earthquake was affected by a series of hydraulic stimulations conducted at the geothermal development site. In spite of its critical importance, the previously suggested stress models for the Pohang geothermal site had large discrepancies, based on limited number and types of stress-indicating data and each different stress estimation approach. In this study, a comprehensive in-situ stress estimation was conducted for the target depth of the enhanced geothermal system development site in Pohang, South Korea, based on variety of direct and indirect in-situ stress indicators collected from drilling, logging, hydraulic stimulations, and induced seismicity data. The stress magnitudes and orientations are suggested as well as the possible range of friction coefficient of the dominant fault structures at the site. The stress model of this study well explains the characteristics of the Pohang earthquake in terms of reproducing the slip direction and the slip tendency of the mainshock fault, and can be used for various studies clarifying the causal mechanism of the Pohang earthquake, thus providing an insight for fault stability analysis and geo-energy development applications in the southeastern part of the Korean Peninsula.

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